The market is bifurcating. Analysis by Empirical Research Partners shows a widening valuation gap between "Innovators" (firms investing heavily in R&D and intangible cap-ex) and "Incumbents." The data suggests that in a slow-growth macro environment, the market assigns a massive scarcity premium to companies that can manufacture their own growth through innovation. This "Innovation Premium" is not a bubble; it is a rational response to the scarcity of organic growth in the broader economy.
https://am.jpmorgan.com/us/en/asset-management/adv/insights/market-insights/guide-to-the-markets/We invest in "Self-Sustaining Growth." In a commoditized world, the only way to protect margins is to innovate faster than the competition can copy. We look for the "Innovation Premium" in the financials—specifically, high R&D spend relative to peers—as a signal that management is playing a different game. We are willing to pay for this premium because it represents the only durable defense against margin compression.
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